The portfolio - the record so far

As at 14 November 2018 the portfolio is showing a profit since starting in mid November 2011 of $976.49 on its $1000 bank.

Concluded events
  • $20 on Romney at $2.99 to win the Iowa Caucus. Won $39.80
  • $80 on Romney at $1.26 to win the New Hampshire primary. Won $20
  • $200 on Nationals to provide PM after NZ Election. Won $16
  • $90 on 0.25% fall in official rates after December Reserve Bank meeting. Won $121.50
  • $35 on Romney at 70% to win in South Carolina. Lost $35
  • $41 on Romney at 82% to win in Florida. Won $9
  • $100 on Australian official interest rate to be reduced in February by 0.25% point at $1.70. Lost $100
  • $67.70 on Romney at 67.9% on Intrade to win the Maine caucus. Won $32.30
  • $68.70 on Mitt Romney to win Michigan primary at 68.7%. Won $31.30
  • $40.00 on Labor at $5.30 to win the Queensland election. Lost $40
  • $200 on Campbell Newman at $1.45 to win the seat of Ashgrove in the Queensland election. Won $90
  • $50 on no official interest rate change at the April Australian Reserve Bank board meeting at $1.54. Won $27.
  • $64.50 on Sarkozy not to win French presidential election at 35.5%. Won $35.50
  • $60.50 on Sarkozy not to win French presidential election at 39.50%  Won $39.50
  • $50 at $1.34 on Australian official interest rate to be reduced in May by 0.25% point.Lost $50
  • $63.60 on Newt Gingrich at 63% to not be the Republican presidential candidate. Won $36.40
  • $50.00 on Mitt Romney at $2.00 to be the Republican presidential candidate.Won $50
  • $10 at $27 on Santorum to be the Republican presidential candidate.Lost $10
  • $6.70 on Santorum at 6.7% to be the Republican candidate. Lost $6.70
  • $1.50 on Jeb Bush to become the Republican presidential candidate at 1.5% Lost $1.50
  • $80.00 on United States at 36% to enter recession in 2012. Lost $80.
  • $56.50 on Democrat to win US presidential election at 56.5%. Won $43.50
  • $127.40 on Democrat to become president at 63.7%. Won $72.60
  • $280 on Obama to win presidential election at 70%. Won $120
  • $77 on Romney at $4.70 to win presidential election. Lost $77
  • $54.30 on Assad to win $45.70 still being president of Syria at end of 2012. Won $54.30
  • $100 on Lib Dems at $1.31 to win Eastleigh by-election. Won $31
  • $4 on Labor at $26 to win West Australian election. Lost $4
  • $200 on Tony Abbott at $1.09 to lead Liberal Party on next election day. Won $18
  • $80.00 on Julia Gillard at $2.60 to still be the Labor leader at the time of the next Australian election. Lost $80
  • $100.00 at $2.00 on Julia Gillard not to be the Labor leader at the time of the next Australian election. Won $100
  • $60.00 at $3.50 on Labor to win the next Australian federal election. Lost $60
  • $150 at $1.40 on Coalition to win the next Australian federal election. Won $60
  • $200 at $1.21 on Coalition to win the next Australian federal election. Won $42
  • $14 on Kevin Rudd at $15 to be next Prime Minister. Lost $14
  • $460 on Labour at $2.20 to win most votes in the UK at European parliamentary election Lost $460
  • $450 on UKIP at $2.25 to win most votes in the UK European parliamentary election. Won $562.5
  • $123 on a "no" vote in the Scottish independence referendum at $1.23. Won $28.29
  • $120 on a "no" vote in the Scottish independence referendum at $1.30. Won $36
  • $200 on a "no" vote in the Scottish independence referendum at $1.30. Won $60
  • $20 on Democrats (including caucusing independents) at $8.50 to control US Senate after mid-term elections. Lost $20
  • $400 on Labor at $1,40 to win the Victorian 2014 state election. Won $160
  • $100 on Labor at $3.80 to win government in Queensland. Won $280
  • $50 at $1.73 on the Reserve Bank board not to change official interest rates at its February meeting Lost $50
  • $100 on Birdman at $1.70 to be Best Picture Won $70
  • $50 on no change in official rates by Reserve Bank Board at April meeting at $2.64 Won $82
  • $100 on Labour at $2.26 to win most seats at the UK election. Lost $100
  • $100 on Labour at $1.66 to win most seats at the UK election. Lost $100
  • $100 on Labour's David Milliband to become Prime Minister after the UK election. Lost $100
  • $50 on no change in official rates by Reserve Bank Board at April 2015 meeting at $3. Lost $50
  • $50 on Leave vote in UK Brexit election at $3.30. Won $115
  • $100 on Coalition to win next election at $1.89. Won $89
  • $30 on Labor to win next election at $7. Lost $7
  • $50 on Labor to win next election at $8.Lost $8
Total outlay on concluded events $5485.40 for return of $6461.89 and winnings of $976.49
Cash balance available of $1976.49 comprising $1000 starting bank plus $976.49 winnings.


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